ADO Den Haag
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 254 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), ADO Den Haag drew 68 where the draw model expected 54.4 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 57.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 06 Apr 2019 → 31 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 19 Nov 2005 → 11 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Feb 2011 → 05 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 24 Sep 2013 → 01 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 05 Oct 2008 → 07 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 08 Apr 2005 → 11 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 04 Apr 2004 → 29 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 25 Oct 2016 → 18 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 07 Mar 2015 → 17 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 26 Mar 2010 → 22 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 577 | 141 | 24.4% | 0 | 17 |
| KNVB Cup | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 18 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 7 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2011 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2010 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 3 |
| 2006 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2004 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2003 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 12:30 |
SC Telstar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:30 |
ADO Den Haag
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 19:00 |
ADO Den Haag
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 17:45 |
Excelsior '31
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 11:15 |
PEC Zwolle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:45 |
ADO Den Haag
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.