Colchester United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 569 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Colchester United drew 165 where the draw model expected 157.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 03 Nov 2012 → 02 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 10 Apr 2004 → 18 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Apr 1994 → 13 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 28 Mar 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 11 Sep 1993 → 11 Dec 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Nov 2022 → 21 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 17 Dec 2005 → 11 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Aug 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 31 Oct 2015 → 28 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Feb 2011 → 16 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 736 | 210 | 28.5% | 1 | 20 |
| League Two | 681 | 206 | 30.3% | 0 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 195 | 45 | 23.1% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 137 | 25 | 18.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Championship | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 24 | 52.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2021 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2014 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 11 |
| 2012 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 10 |
| 2011 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2007 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2004 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 16 |
| 2003 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2002 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2000 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 1999 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1998 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 1996 | 54 | 23 | 42.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 1994 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 15 |
| 1993 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 14 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1989 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1981 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Newport County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Colchester United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Chesterfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Northampton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Colchester United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.