What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 637 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Celtic drew 105 where the draw model expected 114.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 144.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 22 Aug 2001 → 30 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 34 | 20 Feb 2010 → 14 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 31 | 03 Apr 1999 → 18 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 27 | 12 Dec 2004 → 27 Jul 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 25 | 06 Nov 2013 → 26 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 24 | 25 Nov 2019 → 01 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 21 | 08 Dec 2018 → 05 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 21 | 04 Nov 2011 → 25 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 20 | 29 Nov 2003 → 07 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 20 | 28 Apr 2002 → 04 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1203 | 201 | 16.7% | 17 | 26 |
| UEFA Champions League | 188 | 37 | 19.7% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 144 | 31 | 21.5% | 1 | 9 |
| Scottish Cup | 108 | 12 | 11.1% | 1 | 5 |
| Scottish League Cup | 79 | 9 | 11.4% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2025 | 64 | 10 | 15.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 19 |
| 2023 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 17 |
| 2022 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 11 |
| 2021 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 57 | 6 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 2018 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 9 |
| 2017 | 57 | 9 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 2016 | 56 | 10 | 17.9% | 10 |
| 2015 | 56 | 10 | 17.9% | 12 |
| 2014 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2013 | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 11 |
| 2012 | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 12 |
| 2011 | 59 | 8 | 13.6% | 18 |
| 2010 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 34 |
| 2009 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 12 |
| 2007 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 16 |
| 2006 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2005 | 47 | 4 | 8.5% | 24 |
| 2004 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2003 | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | 18 |
| 2002 | 60 | 8 | 13.3% | 20 |
| 2001 | 48 | 2 | 4.2% | 28 |
| 2000 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 1999 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 31 |
| 1998 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 1997 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 13 |
| 1996 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 1995 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 1994 | 18 | 10 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:00 |
Motherwell
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
SL Benfica
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 12:00 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:00 |
Falkirk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.