Bristol City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 18 Oct 2026.
Over 614 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Bristol City drew 158 where the draw model expected 168.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 164.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 28 Nov 2020 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 10 Aug 2002 → 29 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 20 Sep 2005 → 17 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 Jan 2011 → 09 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 06 May 2006 → 26 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 16 Dec 2003 → 28 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 29 Dec 2018 → 26 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 29 Dec 2012 → 23 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Nov 1994 → 31 Dec 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 03 Sep 1994 → 22 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 931 | 255 | 27.4% | 2 | 23 |
| League One | 598 | 170 | 28.4% | 2 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 309 | 78 | 25.2% | 0 | 5 |
| League Cup | 172 | 39 | 22.7% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 2024 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2022 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2020 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2010 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2006 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2005 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 15 |
| 2004 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2002 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2001 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1997 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 10 |
| 1996 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 1994 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1992 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1909 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 1979 |
Nottingham Forest
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 30 Oct 1979 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 02 Oct 1979 |
Bristol City
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Sep 1979 |
Peterborough United
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 1979 |
Rotherham United
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 28 Aug 1979 |
Bristol City
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jan 1979 |
Crystal Palace
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 Jan 1979 |
Bristol City
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Aug 1978 |
Bristol City
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Jan 1978 |
Wrexham
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Jan 1978 |
Bristol City
|
4–4 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 26 Oct 1977 |
Wrexham
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Aug 1977 |
Bristol City
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 Jan 1977 |
Ipswich Town
|
4–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 31 Aug 1976 |
Bristol City
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 03 Jan 1976 |
Coventry City
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Sep 1975 |
Bristol City
|
1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Sep 1975 |
West Ham United
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 04 Jan 1975 |
Sheffield United
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 16 Oct 1974 |
Liverpool
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 Oct 1974 |
Bristol City
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 10 Sep 1974 |
Crystal Palace
|
1–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 19 Aug 1974 |
Bristol City
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 Mar 1974 |
Bristol City
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 19 Feb 1974 |
Leeds United
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 16 Feb 1974 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 26 Jan 1974 |
Hereford United
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 08 Jan 1974 |
Hull City
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 05 Jan 1974 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 06 Nov 1973 |
Coventry City
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 30 Oct 1973 |
Bristol City
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 16 Oct 1973 |
Bristol City
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 Oct 1973 |
Scunthorpe United
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 03 Feb 1973 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 16 Jan 1973 |
Bristol City
|
4–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Jan 1973 |
Portsmouth
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 06 Sep 1972 |
West Ham United
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 15 Jan 1972 |
Preston North End
|
4–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 17 Aug 1971 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 11 Jan 1971 |
Southampton
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Bolton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 20:00 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 12:30 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Middlesbrough
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 19:45 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.