What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 157 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Bray Wanderers drew 26 where the draw model expected 37.8 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 23 Feb 2018 → 11 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 30 May 2015 → 29 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 28 Oct 2016 → 28 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 26 Mar 2016 → 29 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 17 Aug 2018 → 26 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 May 2017 → 28 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 30 Aug 2016 → 14 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 01 Apr 2013 → 06 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 07 Mar 2015 → 11 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 06 Jun 2014 → 27 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 239 | 52 | 21.8% | 1 | 15 |
| FAI Cup | 86 | 17 | 19.8% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 15 |
| 2017 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 13 |
| 2014 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
