US Boulogne
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 263 matches (Jul 2007 – Sep 2026), US Boulogne drew 70 where the draw model expected 77.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 76.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 Feb 2009 → 22 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Jan 2011 → 06 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 18 Jan 2008 → 18 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 15 Aug 2025 → 03 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Sep 2011 → 05 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 24 Oct 2009 → 16 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Dec 2008 → 02 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 17 Oct 2008 → 28 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 05 Nov 2007 → 05 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Apr 2012 → 18 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 193 | 55 | 28.5% | 1 | 16 |
| Ligue 1 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 3 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 16 |
| 2010 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 20 |
| 2008 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
Grenoble Foot 38
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.5% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 19:45 |
US Boulogne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:00 |
Stade Lavallois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:00 |
US Boulogne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.