Blackburn Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 614 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Blackburn Rovers drew 160 where the draw model expected 168.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 164.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 Aug 2023 → 29 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 30 Jul 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 02 Dec 2006 → 10 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 13 Sep 2003 → 20 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Feb 2016 → 05 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 04 Jan 2025 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 12 Sep 2009 → 25 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jan 2006 → 25 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Mar 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Apr 2017 → 16 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 698 | 202 | 28.9% | 0 | 32 |
| Premier League | 654 | 173 | 26.5% | 11 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 423 | 98 | 23.2% | 0 | 7 |
| League Cup | 200 | 39 | 19.5% | 2 | 6 |
| League One | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| FA Community Shield | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 26 |
| 2022 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 22 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 59 | 15 | 25.4% | 13 |
| 2015 | 56 | 20 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2009 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 12 |
| 2008 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2007 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2006 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2004 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2002 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 2001 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 1994 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 4 |
| 1961 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1922 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1912 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1910 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1903 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1894 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1893 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1892 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1890 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1889 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1888 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1885 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1884 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1883 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1882 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 1881 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1880 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1879 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 18:45 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
West Bromwich Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Swansea City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.