Barrow
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 534 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Barrow drew 148 where the draw model expected 148.3 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Jan 2021 → 02 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 26 Aug 2019 → 23 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Dec 2025 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 04 Jan 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 02 Aug 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 26 Dec 2012 → 19 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 02 Jan 2010 → 27 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Sep 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 21 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Apr 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 460 | 132 | 28.7% | 4 | 15 |
| League Two | 276 | 71 | 25.7% | 6 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 137 | 35 | 25.6% | 0 | 3 |
| League Cup | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2025 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2020 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 15 |
| 2018 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 48 | 20 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2011 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2010 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2009 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 2007 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1967 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
1.77 3.68 3.73 | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Tamworth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Halifax Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.