What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Over 550 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AZ Alkmaar drew 115 where the draw model expected 110.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 124.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 10 Mar 2000 → 12 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 13 Jan 2021 → 08 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 27 Jan 2015 → 09 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 17 Feb 2018 → 25 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 09 Sep 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 19 Apr 2005 → 20 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 14 Apr 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 14 Feb 2026 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 15 Sep 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 09 Dec 2019 → 01 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 985 | 213 | 21.6% | 2 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 156 | 43 | 27.6% | 2 | 8 |
| KNVB Cup | 75 | 10 | 13.3% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 0 | 18 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Johan Cruyff Shield | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 13 |
| 2025 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2023 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 18 |
| 2020 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 16 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 14 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 47 | 6 | 12.8% | 17 |
| 2014 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 15 |
| 2009 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2007 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2005 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 15 |
| 2004 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 20 |
| 1999 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 10 |
| 1998 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% | 3 |
| 1997 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1996 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · KNVB Cup
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · KNVB Cup
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · KNVB Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· NED · Eredivisie
|
|||||
| ☆ 16 Apr 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 Apr 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 02 Apr 2011 |
Feyenoord
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 18 Mar 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 12 Mar 2011 |
Roda JC Kerkrade
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Mar 2011 |
Ajax
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 27 Feb 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 19 Feb 2011 |
SC Heerenveen
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 12 Feb 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
0–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 05 Feb 2011 |
Excelsior Rotterdam
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jan 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
6–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 22 Jan 2011 |
Heracles
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 19 Jan 2011 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 23 Dec 2010 |
Ajax
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 12 Dec 2010 |
Groningen
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Dec 2010 |
ADO Den Haag
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 27 Nov 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 20 Nov 2010 |
Twente
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 14 Nov 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 10 Nov 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Nov 2010 |
Vitesse Arnhem
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 04 Nov 2010 |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Nov 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3–0 | BATE Borisov | H |
|
| ☆ 04 Nov 2010 |
Sheriff Tiraspol
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 31 Oct 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 27 Oct 2010 |
De Graafschap
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Oct 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Oct 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 20 Oct 2010 | BATE Borisov | 4–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Oct 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 16 Oct 2010 |
VVV-Venlo
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Oct 2010 |
FK Aktobe
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 03 Oct 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 25 Sep 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 22 Sep 2010 |
Den Bosch
|
2–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 20 Sep 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 19 Sep 2010 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 11 Sep 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Sep 2010 |
IFK Göteborg
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Aug 2010 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 12:30 |
SC Cambuur
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 16:45 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 19:00 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 20:00 |
Ajax
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 15:45 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 13:30 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.