Ascoli Calcio
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 448 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Ascoli Calcio drew 128 where the draw model expected 137.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 15 Feb 2026 → 23 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 May 2019 → 25 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 28 Dec 2017 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 May 2017 → 24 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 19 Mar 2013 → 04 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 Oct 2011 → 03 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Dec 2008 → 17 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 19 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 24 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 735 | 213 | 29.0% | 3 | 12 |
| Serie A | 76 | 28 | 36.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Serie C | 74 | 21 | 28.4% | 11 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | 16 |
| 2025 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
FC Südtirol
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 15:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
SS Arezzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:30 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.