What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 03 Apr 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 06 Jan 2024 → 01 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2006 → 16 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 09 Aug 2025 → 01 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 02 Mar 2007 → 21 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 31 Oct 2020 → 12 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 15 Feb 2025 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Aug 2021 → 09 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Jan 2021 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 650 | 162 | 24.9% | 1 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 81 | 17 | 21.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 20 |
| 2025 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 18 |
| 2023 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 13 |
| 2006 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2005 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 361 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Altrincham drew 84 where the draw model expected 93.7 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 91.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.