UD Almería
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 520 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), UD Almería drew 136 where the draw model expected 147.2 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 149.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 05 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 16 May 2026 → 03 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 01 Mar 2009 → 30 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 27 Aug 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Apr 2006 → 17 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 18 May 2021 → 04 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 12 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 May 2004 → 10 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 718 | 202 | 28.1% | 11 | 13 |
| La Liga | 304 | 76 | 25.0% | 1 | 14 |
| Copa del Rey | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 14 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 11 |
| 2011 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 13 |
| 2005 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2004 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 11 |
| 2003 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2002 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1997 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:15 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 12:00 |
Real Sociedad B
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 19:00 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
SD Eibar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Girona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.