AFC Wimbledon
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 583 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), AFC Wimbledon drew 174 where the draw model expected 161.3 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 155.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 21 Aug 2018 → 01 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Nov 2011 → 14 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 03 Apr 2010 → 28 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 16 Aug 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 01 Apr 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 08 Mar 2016 → 26 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Nov 2014 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Aug 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 03 Mar 2012 → 09 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Oct 2024 → 16 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 368 | 104 | 28.3% | 3 | 11 |
| League One | 319 | 99 | 31.0% | 0 | 17 |
| National League | 90 | 19 | 21.1% | 1 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 20 |
| 2017 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 2009 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Stockport County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.