▦ FDB4
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Match official

S Rushton

2007–2017 · 4 competitions
Matches 184
Draws 39
Draw % 21.2% -3.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 184 matches (Aug 2007 – Apr 2017), S Rushton drew 39 where the draw model expected 49.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 48.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 76 13 17.1%
ENG · League Two 55 8 14.5%
ENG · League One 48 16 33.3%
ENG · Championship 5 2 40.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2016/17 22 4 18.2%
2015/16 20 3 15.0%
2014/15 16 4 25.0%
2013/14 25 7 28.0%
2011/12 32 8 25.0%
2010/11 29 9 31.0%
2009/10 22 2 9.1%
2008/09 12 2 16.7%
2007/08 6 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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