S Jackson
Over 141 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), S Jackson drew 31 where the draw model expected 37.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 37.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 78 | 18 | 23.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 40 | 10 | 25.0% |
| ENG · League One | 23 | 3 | 13.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% |
| 2025/26 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| 2024/25 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2023/24 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% |
| 2022/23 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| 2021/22 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| 2020/21 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% |
| 2019/20 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 4–1 | Bromley | H | ENG · League One |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Northampton Town | 2–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Salford City | 2–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Harrogate Town | 3–0 | Hornchurch | H | ENG · National League |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Barrow | 3–0 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · National League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Barnet | 3–1 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–0 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Tamworth | 2–2 | Boston United | D | ENG · National League |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1–3 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Exeter City | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Carlisle United | 2–3 | Worthing | A | ENG · National League |
| 02 May 2026 | Bromley | 3–1 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Altrincham | 3–1 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Stockport County | 0–1 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–0 | Reading | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Colchester United | 1–3 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Walsall | 1–2 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Gateshead | 1–0 | Braintree Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 0–0 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Brackley Town | 1–1 | Halifax Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Carlisle United | 0–3 | York City | A | ENG · National League |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Chesterfield | 0–1 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Yeovil Town | 0–1 | Southend United | A | ENG · National League |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Hartlepool United | 2–0 | Solihull Moors | H | ENG · National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–1 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–2 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Swindon Town | 3–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Oldham Athletic | 0–1 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Carlisle United | 5–0 | Braintree Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 0–1 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Peterborough United | 0–1 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Grimsby Town | 3–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–0 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · National League |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Chesterfield | 3–3 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Burton Albion | 3–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Northampton Town | 0–2 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Mar 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–2 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Cambridge United | 0–1 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Carlisle United | 0–0 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Notts County | 1–1 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 2–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Swindon Town | 2–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 4–1 | Bromley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Grimsby Town | 3–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Accrington Stanley | 0–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Colchester United | 0–0 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Stevenage | 2–0 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Sutton United | 2–0 | Fylde | H | ENG · National League |