Match official

S Jackson

2019–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 141
Draws 31
Draw % 22.0% -2.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3

Over 141 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), S Jackson drew 31 where the draw model expected 37.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 37.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 78 18 23.1%
ENG · League Two 40 10 25.0%
ENG · League One 23 3 13.0%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 11 1 9.1%
2025/26 22 3 13.6%
2024/25 24 6 25.0%
2023/24 20 5 25.0%
2022/23 17 6 35.3%
2021/22 17 4 23.5%
2020/21 18 2 11.1%
2019/20 12 4 33.3%
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