▦ FDB4
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Match official

S Duncan

2008–2020 · 4 competitions
Matches 237
Draws 69
Draw % 29.1% +4.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 237 matches (Aug 2008 – Jul 2020), S Duncan drew 69 where the draw model expected 65.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 64.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 125 32 25.6%
ENG · League One 46 15 32.6%
ENG · National League 37 11 29.7%
ENG · League Two 29 11 37.9%
By season 11 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2019/20 5 1 20.0%
2018/19 32 6 18.8%
2017/18 33 9 27.3%
2016/17 34 12 35.3%
2015/16 31 7 22.6%
2014/15 32 11 34.4%
2013/14 33 12 36.4%
2011/12 21 7 33.3%
2010/11 6 0 0.0%
2009/10 5 2 40.0%
2008/09 5 2 40.0%
Latest matches last 50

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