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R Massey-Ellis

2020–2026 · 2 competitions
Matches 101
Draws 25
Draw % 24.8% +0.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 2
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 101 matches (Oct 2020 – Oct 2026), R Massey-Ellis drew 25 where the draw model expected 26.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 25.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 2 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 94 21 22.3%
ENG · League Two 7 4 57.1%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 3 1 33.3%
2025/26 20 6 30.0%
2024/25 21 7 33.3%
2023/24 5 1 20.0%
2022/23 19 3 15.8%
2021/22 20 3 15.0%
2020/21 13 4 30.8%
Latest matches last 50

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