P Bankes
Over 340 matches (Aug 2009 – Oct 2026), P Bankes drew 82 where the draw model expected 90.5 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 90.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 140 | 39 | 27.9% |
| ENG · Premier League | 119 | 26 | 21.8% |
| ENG · League One | 34 | 8 | 23.5% |
| ENG · National League | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| ENG · League Two | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| 2025/26 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| 2024/25 | 25 | 2 | 8.0% |
| 2023/24 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| 2022/23 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2021/22 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% |
| 2020/21 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2018/19 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% |
| 2017/18 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% |
| 2016/17 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% |
| 2015/16 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% |
| 2014/15 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% |
| 2011/12 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| 2010/11 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| 2009/10 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace | 3–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Fulham | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–2 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 4–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Burnley | 0–0 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Newcastle United | 2–1 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–4 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Feb 2026 | Leeds United | 3–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 2–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 4–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1–0 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Manchester City | 3–2 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0–2 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2–0 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–1 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Manchester United | 2–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 2–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Manchester City | 0–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 May 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2025 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Ipswich Town | 1–2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–2 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Aston Villa | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Manchester United | 1–3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Jan 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0–3 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Brentford | 1–3 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Chelsea | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Dec 2024 | Fulham | 3–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–4 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Manchester United | 3–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 3–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Newcastle United | 0–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Manchester City | 3–2 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Chelsea | 4–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Fulham | 3–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |