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N Kinseley

2005–2020 · 3 competitions
Matches 225
Draws 52
Draw % 23.1% -1.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 225 matches (Aug 2005 – Feb 2020), N Kinseley drew 52 where the draw model expected 61.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 59.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 102 23 22.5%
ENG · League Two 75 15 20.0%
ENG · League One 48 14 29.2%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2019/20 19 1 5.3%
2018/19 23 6 26.1%
2017/18 25 7 28.0%
2016/17 28 7 25.0%
2015/16 27 8 29.6%
2014/15 16 4 25.0%
2013/14 15 3 20.0%
2011/12 10 3 30.0%
2010/11 8 3 37.5%
2009/10 10 2 20.0%
2008/09 11 3 27.3%
2007/08 12 1 8.3%
2006/07 11 3 27.3%
2005/06 10 1 10.0%
Latest matches last 50

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