Mark Clattenburg
Over 443 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2017), Mark Clattenburg drew 114 where the draw model expected 115.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 293 | 76 | 25.9% |
| ENG · Championship | 67 | 15 | 22.4% |
| ENG · League One | 42 | 11 | 26.2% |
| ENG · League Two | 41 | 12 | 29.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016/17 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% |
| 2015/16 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2014/15 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| 2013/14 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% |
| 2012/13 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% |
| 2011/12 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2010/11 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2009/10 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% |
| 2008/09 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2007/08 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2006/07 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% |
| 2005/06 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% |
| 2004/05 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| 2003/04 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2002/03 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% |
| 2001/02 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% |
| 2000/01 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2017 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–1 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Apr 2017 | Everton | 3–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Feb 2017 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Feb 2017 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Feb 2017 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–0 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Jan 2017 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Jan 2017 | Stoke City | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Jan 2017 | Everton | 4–0 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Jan 2017 | West Bromwich Albion | 3–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2016 | Watford | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Dec 2016 | Bournemouth | 1–3 | Southampton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Dec 2016 | Everton | 2–1 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Dec 2016 | Liverpool | 2–2 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Dec 2016 | Stoke City | 2–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Nov 2016 | Southampton | 0–0 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Nov 2016 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Oct 2016 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Burnley | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Oct 2016 | Manchester City | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Sep 2016 | West Bromwich Albion | 4–2 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Sep 2016 | Manchester United | 1–2 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Aug 2016 | Chelsea | 3–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Aug 2016 | Leicester City | 0–0 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 May 2016 | Arsenal | 4–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 May 2016 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2016 | Chelsea | 2–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Apr 2016 | Leicester City | 4–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Apr 2016 | Liverpool | 4–1 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2016 | West Ham United | 2–2 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Mar 2016 | Everton | 0–2 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Mar 2016 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Mar 2016 | Leicester City | 2–2 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Feb 2016 | Manchester City | 1–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Feb 2016 | Southampton | 1–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Jan 2016 | Arsenal | 0–1 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Jan 2016 | Liverpool | 0–1 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Jan 2016 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Jan 2016 | Norwich City | 1–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Dec 2015 | Everton | 3–4 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2015 | Hull City | 3–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2015 | Watford | 3–0 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2015 | Leicester City | 2–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Dec 2015 | Manchester United | 0–0 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Nov 2015 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–1 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Nov 2015 | Norwich City | 1–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Oct 2015 | Chelsea | 1–3 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2015 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Oct 2015 | Crystal Palace | 1–3 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Oct 2015 | Norwich City | 1–2 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Sep 2015 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–1 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2015 | Southampton | 2–3 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |