K Johnson
Over 246 matches (Aug 2008 – May 2021), K Johnson drew 65 where the draw model expected 67.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 65.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 94 | 26 | 27.7% |
| ENG · League Two | 88 | 27 | 30.7% |
| ENG · National League | 59 | 11 | 18.6% |
| ENG · Championship | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/21 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2017/18 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| 2016/17 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| 2015/16 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| 2014/15 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| 2013/14 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| 2011/12 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2010/11 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| 2009/10 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| 2008/09 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May 2021 | Charlton Athletic | 3–1 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 May 2021 | Swindon Town | 1–2 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Apr 2021 | Cheltenham Town | 1–1 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Colchester United | 2–0 | Southend United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Cambridge United | 1–4 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Mar 2021 | Port Vale | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Plymouth Argyle | 4–3 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Northampton Town | 0–0 | Rochdale | D | ENG · League One |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Salford City | 1–1 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Feb 2021 | Charlton Athletic | 2–3 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Feb 2021 | Crawley Town | 0–0 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Shrewsbury Town | 2–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Jan 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–1 | AFC Wimbledon | D | ENG · League One |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Dec 2020 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Exeter City | 5–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Dec 2020 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–1 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 24 Nov 2020 | Crawley Town | 1–2 | Grimsby Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Nov 2020 | Northampton Town | 0–1 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Nov 2020 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–1 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Oct 2020 | Lincoln City | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Oct 2020 | Oxford United | 3–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2020 | Southend United | 2–2 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Sep 2020 | Swindon Town | 4–2 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Sep 2020 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Feb 2020 | Portsmouth | 3–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Oxford United | 0–1 | Sunderland | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2020 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Swindon Town | 2–1 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League One |
| 14 Jan 2020 | Stevenage | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Peterborough United | 0–0 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2020 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–2 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2019 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–4 | Coventry City | A | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–1 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Nov 2019 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Cheltenham Town | 1–2 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–0 | Sunderland | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2019 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–3 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Sep 2019 | Bristol Rovers | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Sep 2019 | Leyton Orient | 1–3 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Aug 2019 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–5 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Aug 2019 | Portsmouth | 3–3 | Coventry City | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Southend United | 1–3 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Aug 2019 | Salford City | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Apr 2019 | Newport County | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Apr 2019 | Northampton Town | 3–1 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2019 | Newport County | 0–0 | Swindon Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Apr 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League Two |