▦ FDB4
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Match official

K Evans

2005–2021 · 4 competitions
Matches 248
Draws 58
Draw % 23.4% -1.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 248 matches (Aug 2005 – Apr 2021), K Evans drew 58 where the draw model expected 67.0 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 140 35 25.0%
ENG · League Two 56 13 23.2%
ENG · League One 41 8 19.5%
ENG · Championship 11 2 18.2%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2020/21 9 3 33.3%
2019/20 8 3 37.5%
2017/18 16 2 12.5%
2016/17 20 5 25.0%
2015/16 17 7 41.2%
2014/15 16 4 25.0%
2013/14 12 1 8.3%
2011/12 19 4 21.1%
2010/11 28 4 14.3%
2009/10 26 6 23.1%
2008/09 28 6 21.4%
2007/08 27 8 29.6%
2006/07 13 2 15.4%
2005/06 9 3 33.3%
Latest matches last 50

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