▦ FDB4
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Match official

John Underhill

2000–2008 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: J Underhill, J. R. Underhill, Underhill, J. R.
Matches 139
Draws 22
Draw % 15.8% -8.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 139 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2008), John Underhill drew 22 where the draw model expected 32.5 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 113 15 13.3%
SCO · Scottish Championship 15 5 33.3%
SCO · Scottish League One 6 0 0.0%
SCO · Scottish League Two 5 2 40.0%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2007/08 9 2 22.2%
2006/07 12 1 8.3%
2005/06 14 1 7.1%
2004/05 12 2 16.7%
2003/04 15 3 20.0%
2002/03 18 2 11.1%
2001/02 30 7 23.3%
2000/01 29 4 13.8%
Latest matches last 50

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