C Pawson
Over 458 matches (Aug 2006 – Oct 2026), C Pawson drew 117 where the draw model expected 117.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 293 | 70 | 23.9% |
| ENG · Championship | 59 | 18 | 30.5% |
| ENG · League One | 45 | 18 | 40.0% |
| ENG · League Two | 39 | 6 | 15.4% |
| ENG · National League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2025/26 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2024/25 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2023/24 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| 2022/23 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2021/22 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% |
| 2020/21 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2019/20 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2018/19 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2017/18 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
| 2016/17 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| 2015/16 | 32 | 17 | 53.1% |
| 2014/15 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
| 2013/14 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% |
| 2012/13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2010/11 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| 2009/10 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2008/09 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| 2007/08 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| 2006/07 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth | 2–0 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 0–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Manchester United | 5–2 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 May 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2026 | Brentford | 3–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Bournemouth | 0–0 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 1–3 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1–2 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 2–3 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2–2 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Hull City | 0–1 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 0–0 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 4–5 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Everton | 1–4 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 2–2 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Everton | 0–3 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Brentford | 3–1 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fulham | 1–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–3 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Aston Villa | 0–0 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Coventry City | 2–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–1 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Apr 2025 | Chelsea | 1–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Bournemouth | 1–2 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Arsenal | 0–1 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Bournemouth | 5–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Jan 2025 | West Ham United | 3–2 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Manchester United | 0–3 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Arsenal | 0–0 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Sunderland | 2–1 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Ipswich Town | 0–1 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Nov 2024 | Newcastle United | 0–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–1 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Leicester City | 1–3 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Everton | 0–0 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–0 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Aston Villa | 3–2 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |