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C Kavanagh

2013–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 334
Draws 79
Draw % 23.7% -0.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 334 matches (Aug 2013 – Oct 2026), C Kavanagh drew 79 where the draw model expected 84.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 87.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 198 45 22.7%
ENG · Championship 82 19 23.2%
ENG · League One 20 5 25.0%
ENG · National League 20 4 20.0%
ENG · League Two 14 6 42.9%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 1 20.0%
2025/26 30 6 20.0%
2024/25 24 10 41.7%
2023/24 24 6 25.0%
2022/23 19 2 10.5%
2021/22 23 7 30.4%
2020/21 24 2 8.3%
2019/20 27 7 25.9%
2018/19 29 6 20.7%
2017/18 23 7 30.4%
2016/17 33 7 21.2%
2015/16 27 8 29.6%
2014/15 26 6 23.1%
2013/14 20 4 20.0%
Latest matches last 50

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