▦ FDB4
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Match official

Alan Freeland

2000–2008 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: A Freeland, A. Freeland, Freeland, A.
Matches 123
Draws 17
Draw % 13.8% -10.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 123 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2008), Alan Freeland drew 17 where the draw model expected 28.8 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 2.5 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 105 14 13.3%
SCO · Scottish Championship 10 2 20.0%
SCO · Scottish League Two 5 0 0.0%
SCO · Scottish League One 3 1 33.3%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2007/08 10 1 10.0%
2006/07 8 1 12.5%
2005/06 14 1 7.1%
2004/05 14 0 0.0%
2003/04 15 2 13.3%
2002/03 13 3 23.1%
2001/02 23 4 17.4%
2000/01 26 5 19.2%
Latest matches last 50

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