Willem II Tilburg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 320 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Willem II Tilburg drew 71 where the draw model expected 70.5 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 72.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 28 Nov 2009 → 18 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 01 Apr 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 30 Sep 2006 → 23 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 28 Oct 2018 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 28 Oct 2021 → 26 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 11 Nov 1998 → 21 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 13 Mar 1998 → 29 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Oct 1997 → 01 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 25 Apr 2019 → 29 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 22 Feb 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 951 | 211 | 22.2% | 2 | 27 |
| KNVB Cup | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2024 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 20 |
| 2016 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 4 |
| 2014 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2013 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2012 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 22 |
| 2009 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 15 |
| 2005 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 8 |
| 2004 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2002 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10 |
| 2001 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 1999 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 1998 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 13 |
| 1997 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 1996 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 1995 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 8 |
| 1994 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10 |
| 1993 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 10:15 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 19:00 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:45 |
Willem II Tilburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Helmond Sport
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:45 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:00 |
Willem II Tilburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.