SV Wehen Wiesbaden
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 409 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SV Wehen Wiesbaden drew 100 where the draw model expected 111.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 111.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17 Feb 2018 → 08 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 26 Jan 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Mar 2019 → 04 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 07 Dec 2008 → 05 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 05 Oct 2025 → 25 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Mar 2020 → 13 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 03 Apr 2013 → 10 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 30 Jan 2021 → 21 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 01 Dec 2018 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 09 Sep 2017 → 29 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 539 | 146 | 27.1% | 3 | 17 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 38 | 27.9% | 4 | 11 |
| DFB-Pokal | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2019 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2018 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 17 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2015 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 11 |
| 2012 | 38 | 20 | 52.6% | 4 |
| 2011 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2009 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 6 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.