Wealdstone
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 288 matches (Nov 2015 – Sep 2026), Wealdstone drew 69 where the draw model expected 73.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 26 Mar 2024 → 20 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Apr 2025 → 06 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Apr 2021 → 11 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 24 Sep 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Feb 2021 → 30 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 10 Oct 2020 → 17 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 04 Feb 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 28 Feb 2023 → 25 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 07 May 2022 → 27 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 281 | 69 | 24.6% | 0 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 12 |
| 2023 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Aldershot Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.