What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 152 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), VVV-Venlo drew 33 where the draw model expected 32.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 28 Mar 2010 → 28 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 20 Nov 2011 → 06 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 12 May 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Aug 2007 → 10 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 20 Feb 2021 → 01 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 15 Dec 2018 → 17 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 14 Dec 2010 → 13 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 17 Feb 2008 → 20 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 15 Aug 1993 → 16 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 15 Feb 2013 → 12 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 332 | 77 | 23.2% | 2 | 22 |
| KNVB Cup | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2018 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 17 |
| 2011 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2010 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 23 |
| 2009 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
VVV-Venlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.