What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 130 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), Volendam drew 27 where the draw model expected 24.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 09 Nov 2003 → 29 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 08 Apr 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Oct 2022 → 20 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 14 Mar 1998 → 10 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 13 Sep 2025 → 08 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 06 Feb 1994 → 12 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 22 Aug 1993 → 23 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 04 Feb 2026 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 31 Aug 2008 → 25 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 13 Mar 2004 → 02 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 340 | 78 | 22.9% | 1 | 13 |
| KNVB Cup | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2022 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2016 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 10 |
| 1997 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 1994 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 9 |
| 1993 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
FC Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.