What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 416 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Viking FK drew 76 where the draw model expected 86.2 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 93.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 16 May 2018 → 02 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 20 Aug 2017 → 06 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 08 Jun 2006 → 05 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 26 May 1980 → 17 Sep 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 29 Apr 2007 → 05 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 23 Apr 1972 → 15 Jul 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 07 May 1995 → 16 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 01 Mar 2026 → 24 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 21 Oct 2012 → 05 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 30 Apr 2000 → 30 Jul 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1666 | 435 | 26.1% | 2 | 20 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 470 | 67 | 14.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 1 | 8 |
| 1. divisjon | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | 23 | 23 |
| UEFA Champions League | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2025 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 10 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2019 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 32 | 1 | 3.1% | 23 |
| 2017 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2014 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2013 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2010 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2009 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2007 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 17 |
| 2006 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 19 |
| 2005 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2003 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2001 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 1999 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 11 |
| 1998 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 1996 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 1995 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 15 |
| 1994 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 1993 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 1992 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 4 |
| 1991 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 1990 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1989 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1985 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 9 |
| 1984 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 1982 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1981 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1980 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 19 |
| 1979 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 1978 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1977 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 14 |
| 1976 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 9 |
| 1974 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 1973 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1972 | 30 | 3 | 10.0% | 16 |
| 1971 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 1970 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 1969 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 1968 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1966 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1965 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 1964 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 1963 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 1962 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1961 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1960 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 1959 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1958 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 12 |
| 1957 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 6 |
| 1956 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 1955 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 12 |
| 1953 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 1952 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 1951 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1950 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 1949 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 1948 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1947 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1940 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1930 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1929 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1925 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1918 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:00 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:00 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Aston Villa
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 13:30 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.5% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 18:00 |
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 20:00 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:00 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 13:00 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.