Hellas Verona
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 475 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Hellas Verona drew 137 where the draw model expected 123.1 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 131.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 13 Dec 2017 → 12 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 18 Aug 2024 → 30 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 23 Dec 2000 → 06 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 20 Mar 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Nov 2001 → 03 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 04 Sep 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 29 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Dec 2004 → 20 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 08 May 2004 → 02 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 11 Feb 2012 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 554 | 148 | 26.7% | 1 | 22 |
| Serie B | 453 | 147 | 32.5% | 3 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 18 |
| 2023 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2019 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 21 |
| 2017 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2015 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 4 |
| 2006 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 45 | 21 | 46.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 17 |
| 2000 | 32 | 16 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 1997 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 09:30 |
Lugano
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 17:30 |
Modena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:30 |
Hellas Verona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
Hellas Verona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
SS Juve Stabia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:15 |
Hellas Verona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 16:15 |
Mantova 1911
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.