Real Valladolid
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 512 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Real Valladolid drew 130 where the draw model expected 142.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 143.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16 Oct 2022 → 05 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 10 May 1997 → 15 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 08 Mar 2025 → 22 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 23 Oct 2021 → 08 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 04 Feb 2006 → 14 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 07 Dec 2024 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 16 Sep 2023 → 11 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 05 Dec 2004 → 19 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 11 Feb 2001 → 28 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 13 Jan 1996 → 17 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 806 | 235 | 29.2% | 12 | 12 |
| Segunda División | 511 | 127 | 24.9% | 1 | 15 |
| Copa del Rey | 59 | 15 | 25.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 11 |
| 2022 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2020 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2019 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2014 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2013 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2012 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2010 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 2008 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2007 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2006 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 15 |
| 2005 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 2004 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2003 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 1997 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 16 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 11 |
| 1995 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 1994 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 04 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Oct 16:30 |
UD Las Palmas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 12:00 |
Real Valladolid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 16:30 |
Real Valladolid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:30 |
Granada CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Real Valladolid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Sporting de Gijón
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.