Tranmere Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 566 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Tranmere Rovers drew 143 where the draw model expected 155.2 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 150.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 27 Nov 2025 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 17 Oct 2020 → 26 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 15 Mar 2008 → 13 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 17 Aug 2002 → 26 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 17 Feb 2018 → 10 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 25 Mar 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 18 Feb 1995 → 30 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 21 Dec 2012 → 23 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 20 Nov 1999 → 12 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 09 Oct 2010 → 03 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 632 | 168 | 26.6% | 4 | 15 |
| League Two | 377 | 100 | 26.5% | 1 | 19 |
| Championship | 368 | 107 | 29.1% | 0 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 253 | 63 | 24.9% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 181 | 43 | 23.8% | 0 | 10 |
| National League | 138 | 30 | 21.7% | 13 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2023 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2022 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 16 |
| 2019 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 14 |
| 2015 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2009 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2008 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 16 |
| 2007 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 2005 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 12 |
| 2003 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 15 |
| 2001 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 9 |
| 2000 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 1999 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 11 |
| 1998 | 56 | 20 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 1997 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 6 |
| 1995 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 14 |
| 1994 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 1993 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1988 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1972 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1968 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1951 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Northampton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Crawley Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.