☆
· USA · MLS
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
522
Draw %
25.9%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
17
01 Aug 2015 → 06 Mar 2016
Avg top run
12.5
top 10
Draw debt E
1.78
p50
44.0%
p100
30.0%
Draw score
0.325
rank #357
Draws
135
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,492
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,696
reached 16 Sep 2017
Rank
#5,668
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
522
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 420 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Toronto FC drew 108 where the draw model expected 102.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 105.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
01 Aug 2015 → 06 Mar 2016
2 16
21 Jun 2023 → 21 Oct 2023
3 14
15 Jun 2024 → 21 Sep 2024
4 14
03 Mar 2024 → 25 May 2024
5 14
14 Sep 2013 → 17 May 2014
6 11
25 Aug 2018 → 27 Jan 2019
7 11
17 Mar 2012 → 16 Jun 2012
8 10
12 Aug 2017 → 15 Oct 2017
9 9
19 Apr 2025 → 31 May 2025
10 9
25 Oct 2014 → 10 May 2015
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 Aug 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Jun 2023 → 21 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Jun 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 03 Mar 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 14 Sep 2013 → 17 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 25 Aug 2018 → 27 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 17 Mar 2012 → 16 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 12 Aug 2017 → 15 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 19 Apr 2025 → 31 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 25 Oct 2014 → 10 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 511 | 133 | 26.0% | 5 | 17 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 1 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 14 |
| 2023 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 16 |
| 2014 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
Matches
all results ›
522 matches · page 1 / 14
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Oct 23:30 |
Toronto FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 23:30 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 19:30 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 23:30 |
Toronto FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 21:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 21:00 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.