☆
· USA · MLS
Team ☆
all results ›
USA · Club
D.C. United
D.C. United
Played
535
Draw %
26.4%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
16
20 Oct 2021 → 10 May 2022
Avg top run
10.4
top 10
Draw debt E
1.10
p50
38.0%
p100
36.0%
Draw score
0.250
rank #562
Draws
141
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,448
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,586
reached 31 Mar 2019
Rank
#13,970
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
535
last 14 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 423 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), D.C. United drew 115 where the draw model expected 106.3 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 16
20 Oct 2021 → 10 May 2022
2 15
22 Apr 2012 → 11 Aug 2012
3 12
11 Jun 2014 → 31 Aug 2014
4 10
13 Jun 2017 → 29 Jul 2017
5 9
17 Apr 2021 → 19 Jun 2021
6 9
24 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017
7 9
19 Sep 2015 → 06 Mar 2016
8 9
30 Jun 2015 → 30 Aug 2015
9 8
04 Aug 2019 → 22 Sep 2019
10 7
22 Mar 2025 → 03 May 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 20 Oct 2021 → 10 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Apr 2012 → 11 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 11 Jun 2014 → 31 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 13 Jun 2017 → 29 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 17 Apr 2021 → 19 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 24 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 19 Sep 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 30 Jun 2015 → 30 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 04 Aug 2019 → 22 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Mar 2025 → 03 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 505 | 130 | 25.7% | 2 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 13 | 43.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 10 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Matches
all results ›
535 matches · page 1 / 14
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 23:30 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Oct 23:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 23:30 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 23:30 |
Toronto FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 18:00 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 21:00 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.