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Team ☆
all results ›
USA · Club
Austin FC
Austin FC
Played
213
Draw %
24.9%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
26
01 Jul 2021 → 12 Mar 2022
Avg top run
9.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.28
p50
30.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.124
rank #1,325
Draws
53
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2025)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,499
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,591
reached 26 Aug 2022
Rank
#4,112
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
213
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 213 matches (Apr 2021 – Oct 2026), Austin FC drew 53 where the draw model expected 55.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 26
01 Jul 2021 → 12 Mar 2022
2 11
10 May 2023 → 24 Jun 2023
3 9
02 Oct 2024 → 30 Mar 2025
4 8
13 May 2026 → 19 Aug 2026
5 8
21 Sep 2025 → 02 Nov 2025
6 7
13 Aug 2022 → 14 Sep 2022
7 6
12 Apr 2025 → 10 May 2025
8 6
23 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024
9 6
08 Jul 2023 → 30 Aug 2023
10 6
17 Apr 2021 → 23 May 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 01 Jul 2021 → 12 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 May 2023 → 24 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 Oct 2024 → 30 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 13 May 2026 → 19 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 21 Sep 2025 → 02 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 13 Aug 2022 → 14 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Apr 2025 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 08 Jul 2023 → 30 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 17 Apr 2021 → 23 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 203 | 49 | 24.1% | 1 | 26 |
| US Open Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 23 |
Matches
all results ›
213 matches · page 1 / 6
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Oct 02:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
1.42 4.60 6.35 | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 00:30 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 21:00 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 00:00 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.