☆
· USA · MLS
Team ☆
all results ›
USA · Club
St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC
Played
140
Draw %
25.0%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
11
17 Jun 2023 → 02 Sep 2023
Avg top run
7.2
top 10
Draw debt E
1.35
p50
24.0%
p100
29.0%
Draw score
0.368
rank #269
Draws
35
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,663
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,663
reached 11 Oct 2026
Rank
#366
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
140
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 140 matches (Feb 2023 – Oct 2026), St. Louis City SC drew 35 where the draw model expected 34.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 11
17 Jun 2023 → 02 Sep 2023
2 10
25 Jun 2025 → 30 Aug 2025
3 8
25 Apr 2023 → 07 Jun 2023
4 8
25 Feb 2023 → 15 Apr 2023
5 7
15 Apr 2026 → 13 May 2026
6 6
09 Mar 2025 → 13 Apr 2025
7 6
14 Sep 2024 → 19 Oct 2024
8 6
23 Sep 2023 → 05 Nov 2023
9 5
12 Sep 2026 → 11 Oct 2026
10 5
17 May 2025 → 08 Jun 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 17 Jun 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 25 Jun 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 25 Apr 2023 → 07 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 25 Feb 2023 → 15 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Apr 2026 → 13 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 09 Mar 2025 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 14 Sep 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Sep 2023 → 05 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 12 Sep 2026 → 11 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 17 May 2025 → 08 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 132 | 34 | 25.8% | 4 | 11 |
| US Open Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2024 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
Matches
all results ›
140 matches · page 1 / 4
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 20:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Oct 00:00 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 00:30 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 19:00 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 00:00 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.