☆
· POR · Taça de Portugal
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
CD Tondela
CD Tondela
Played
290
Draw %
23.1%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
22
11 May 2021 → 03 Jan 2022
Avg top run
10.0
top 10
Draw debt E
0.83
p50
32.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.210
rank #718
Draws
67
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2021)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,555
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,589
reached 28 Apr 2018
Rank
#848
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
290
last 19 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 290 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), CD Tondela drew 67 where the draw model expected 72.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 22
11 May 2021 → 03 Jan 2022
2 13
27 Dec 2020 → 13 Mar 2021
3 10
28 Oct 2018 → 13 Jan 2019
4 9
30 Oct 2015 → 10 Jan 2016
5 8
29 Nov 2025 → 25 Jan 2026
6 8
14 Jan 2018 → 04 Mar 2018
7 8
22 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017
8 8
01 Apr 2017 → 21 May 2017
9 7
22 Jan 2022 → 03 Mar 2022
10 7
05 Oct 2019 → 16 Dec 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 11 May 2021 → 03 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 27 Dec 2020 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 28 Oct 2018 → 13 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 30 Oct 2015 → 10 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 29 Nov 2025 → 25 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 14 Jan 2018 → 04 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 22 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 01 Apr 2017 → 21 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Jan 2022 → 03 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 05 Oct 2019 → 16 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 272 | 62 | 22.8% | 3 | 19 |
| Taça de Portugal | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 21 |
| 2020 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 5 |
| 2015 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
POR · Taça de Portugal
|
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| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 14:00 |
CD Tondela
|
vs |
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– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.