Real Sociedad
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 581 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Real Sociedad drew 147 where the draw model expected 147.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 147.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 Sep 2010 → 26 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 21 Dec 2024 → 02 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 19 Dec 2019 → 10 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 08 Sep 2022 → 03 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 10 Jan 2012 → 01 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 18 Apr 2021 → 12 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 26 Sep 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 25 Aug 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 07 Mar 2011 → 15 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Jan 2006 → 01 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1155 | 310 | 26.8% | 3 | 23 |
| Segunda División | 126 | 44 | 34.9% | 5 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 83 | 19 | 22.9% | 1 | 9 |
| Copa del Rey | 78 | 19 | 24.4% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Supercopa de España | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 16 |
| 2024 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2023 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 15 |
| 2019 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2011 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 16 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2003 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 1997 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:15 |
Real Sociedad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 16:30 |
Málaga CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Lillestrøm SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 17:30 |
Real Sociedad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Athletic Bilbao
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Real Sociedad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Real Sociedad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.