Shakhtar Donetsk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 485 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Shakhtar Donetsk drew 92 where the draw model expected 92.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 01 Nov 2017 → 19 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 20 Oct 2016 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 14 Aug 2015 → 25 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 06 Mar 2021 → 21 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 22 Feb 2024 → 15 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 15 Sep 2010 → 21 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 20 Apr 2026 → 05 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 26 May 2019 → 18 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 27 May 2007 → 04 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 May 2016 → 28 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 324 | 53 | 16.4% | 15 | 28 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 163 | 31 | 19.0% | 1 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 157 | 35 | 22.3% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 107 | 20 | 18.7% | 0 | 11 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 3 | 10.3% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 16 |
| 2023 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2022 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 17 |
| 2020 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 15 |
| 2018 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 17 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 16 |
| 2015 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 18 |
| 2014 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 2006 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2004 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2000 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1995 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.