Obolon Kyiv
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Over 121 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Obolon Kyiv drew 40 where the draw model expected 31.6 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 27 Sep 2023 → 02 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 07 Sep 2001 → 27 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 17 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 23 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 03 Mar 2024 → 06 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 13 May 2026 → 02 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 10 Aug 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 04 Aug 2023 → 23 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 22 Jul 2015 → 28 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 98 | 33 | 33.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 66 | 13 | 19.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Ukrainian Cup
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· ITL · Club Friendlies
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Ukrainian Cup
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· UKR · Premier League
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· UKR · Premier League
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|||||
| ☆ 10 Oct 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 18 Sep 2026 |
Chornomorets Odesa
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 12 Sep 2026 |
LNZ Cherkasy
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Sep 2026 |
Kharkiv
|
5–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 28 Aug 2026 |
Kolos Kovalivka
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 22 Aug 2026 |
Karpaty Lviv
|
2–0 |
|
H | UKR · Ukrainian Cup |
| ☆ 15 Aug 2026 |
Kudrivka
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 08 Aug 2026 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 02 Aug 2026 | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | 3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 May 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 May 2026 |
Kolos Kovalivka
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 13 May 2026 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 May 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
2–2 | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | D |
|
| ☆ 03 May 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 26 Apr 2026 |
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 17 Apr 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 11 Apr 2026 |
NK Veres Rivne
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Apr 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
3–3 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 22 Mar 2026 |
Karpaty Lviv
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Mar 2026 |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Mar 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 01 Mar 2026 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 23 Feb 2026 |
Oleksandriia
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 01 Feb 2026 |
FC Liefering
|
1–1 |
|
D | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 12 Dec 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Dec 2025 |
LNZ Cherkasy
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 28 Nov 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 22 Nov 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–6 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 07 Nov 2025 | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | 1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 31 Oct 2025 |
Kudrivka
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 25 Oct 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 Oct 2025 |
SC Poltava
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Oct 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 27 Sep 2025 |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 22 Sep 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 13 Sep 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 30 Aug 2025 |
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Aug 2025 |
FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
2–0 |
|
H | UKR · Ukrainian Cup |
| ☆ 15 Aug 2025 |
Rukh Lviv
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 10 Aug 2025 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Fri, 16 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Fri, 23 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 28 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 27 Feb 2027
☆
UKR · Premier League
|
||||||
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Oct 10:00 |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.5% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 12:30 |
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| ☆ 31 Oct |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Nov |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | – / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Feb |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | – / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.