FC Zorya Luhansk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Over 399 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Zorya Luhansk drew 95 where the draw model expected 99.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 99.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 05 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 19 May 2024 → 10 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Nov 2020 → 17 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 10 Nov 2019 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 Mar 2018 → 28 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Oct 2015 → 05 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Sep 2021 → 24 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 16 Mar 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 May 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 31 Oct 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 327 | 78 | 23.8% | 2 | 20 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 74 | 18 | 24.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 17 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 18 |
| 2022 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 28 Nov 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 27 Feb 2027
☆
UKR · Premier League
Sat, 06 Mar 2027
☆
UKR · Premier League
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 10:00 |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 15:00 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
vs | FC Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | – / – / – | 27.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.7% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov |
Karpaty Lviv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Nov |
Obolon Kyiv
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec |
Kolos Kovalivka
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Feb |
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 06 Mar 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 06 Mar |
FC Zorya Luhansk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.