Red Bull Salzburg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 546 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Red Bull Salzburg drew 111 where the draw model expected 98.0 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 129.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 Nov 2020 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 05 Apr 2014 → 18 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 21 | 29 Sep 2013 → 26 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 24 Apr 2019 → 17 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 24 Jun 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 01 May 2021 → 11 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 13 May 2018 → 07 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 23 Oct 2016 → 05 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 10 Apr 1993 → 16 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 04 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 479 | 103 | 21.5% | 1 | 20 |
| Austrian Cup | 257 | 50 | 19.5% | 1 | 14 |
| UEFA Champions League | 72 | 17 | 23.6% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 6 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | 1 | 8 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2023 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2022 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 17 |
| 2021 | 54 | 5 | 9.3% | 19 |
| 2020 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 19 |
| 2018 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2017 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2015 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 23 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2012 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2006 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1994 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 1992 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
NK Celje
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
RSC Anderlecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.