Rosenborg BK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 455 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Rosenborg BK drew 102 where the draw model expected 94.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 10 May 1998 → 13 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 27 May 1969 → 19 Oct 1969 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 23 Sep 2012 → 07 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 23 May 1968 → 29 Sep 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 14 May 1962 → 22 Aug 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 23 Sep 2007 → 12 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 12 Jun 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 30 Jul 1995 → 27 Sep 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 05 Jul 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 29 Oct 2023 → 04 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1513 | 365 | 24.1% | 10 | 19 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 383 | 52 | 13.6% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 128 | 27 | 21.1% | 5 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 110 | 20 | 18.2% | 1 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2021 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2020 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2018 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 11 |
| 2016 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 15 |
| 2011 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 11 |
| 2009 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2008 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 13 |
| 2006 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 13 |
| 2005 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 13 |
| 2004 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 11 |
| 2003 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2002 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2001 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2000 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 1999 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 14 |
| 1998 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 20 |
| 1997 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 1996 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 12 |
| 1995 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 15 |
| 1994 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 1993 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1992 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 1991 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1990 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 1989 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 1988 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 1987 | 30 | 13 | 43.3% | 5 |
| 1986 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 14 |
| 1985 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 8 |
| 1984 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 1982 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 1979 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 14 |
| 1978 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1977 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 6 |
| 1976 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 1975 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 9 |
| 1974 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 1973 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 1972 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 1971 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 1970 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 1969 | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 20 |
| 1968 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 18 |
| 1967 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1964 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 17 |
| 1961 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1960 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 1959 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1936 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.