What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 120 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Romania drew 34 where the draw model expected 25.9 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 Oct 1995 → 10 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 28 Mar 2007 → 31 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 26 Mar 2005 → 26 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 13 Feb 2002 → 07 Jun 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 03 Sep 2000 → 28 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 10 Feb 1993 → 25 May 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 16 Nov 2003 → 09 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 01 Jun 1966 → 07 Dec 1966 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Oct 2009 → 11 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 24 Mar 1982 → 17 Nov 1982 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 357 | 96 | 26.9% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 147 | 30 | 20.4% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 136 | 41 | 30.2% | 3 | 8 |
| Balkan Cup | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Nations League | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA European Championship | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Allied Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Millennium Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Olympic Games | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2016 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2015 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 2014 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2009 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 |
| 1999 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1998 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 1995 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1993 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1991 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1987 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1986 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1983 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1982 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1981 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 10 | 9 | 90.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1973 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1972 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1970 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1966 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1965 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1950 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1947 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1942 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1935 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1934 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1931 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1929 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 18:45 | Romania | vs | Sweden | – / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.