AS Roma
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 648 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), AS Roma drew 149 where the draw model expected 151.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 166.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 04 Nov 2016 → 09 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 19 Apr 2025 → 20 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 09 Mar 2014 → 27 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 29 Sep 2012 → 16 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 26 Oct 2025 → 18 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Nov 2006 → 10 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 04 Aug 2021 → 21 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 19 May 2013 → 31 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Feb 2012 → 25 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Mar 2010 → 16 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1215 | 315 | 25.9% | 0 | 27 |
| UEFA Europa League | 196 | 42 | 21.4% | 1 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 110 | 27 | 24.6% | 0 | 17 |
| Coppa Italia | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 0 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 58 | 6 | 10.3% | 26 |
| 2024 | 60 | 18 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 62 | 15 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 60 | 16 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 65 | 12 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 2020 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 54 | 6 | 11.1% | 19 |
| 2016 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 8 |
| 2014 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 19 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2012 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 12 |
| 2009 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2008 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 12 |
| 2007 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2005 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 4 |
| 2003 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 12 |
| 1999 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 1998 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% | 4 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1992 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1963 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1962 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 10:30 |
Como 1907
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 19:00 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:00 |
SSC Napoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:00 |
Udinese Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Manchester United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.