Roda JC Kerkrade
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 128 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Roda JC Kerkrade drew 34 where the draw model expected 28.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 28.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 06 Aug 2011 → 17 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 13 Dec 2009 → 02 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 12 Apr 1997 → 02 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 01 Oct 2000 → 11 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 15 Apr 2017 → 25 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 19 Aug 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 21 Jan 2014 → 30 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 28 Aug 1999 → 07 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Feb 2016 → 08 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 28 Jan 2012 → 31 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 816 | 206 | 25.3% | 2 | 18 |
| KNVB Cup | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 15 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 10 |
| 2015 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 2014 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 12 |
| 2013 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2011 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 19 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 17 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2006 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 10 |
| 2004 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2003 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2002 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 15 |
| 2000 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 1999 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 1998 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 1997 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 17 |
| 1996 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 1995 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 4 |
| 1994 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Roda JC Kerkrade
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
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Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.