What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 22 Oct 2026.
Over 551 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Porto drew 87 where the draw model expected 104.7 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 06 Dec 2010 → 05 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 10 Jan 2016 → 10 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 15 Sep 2023 → 29 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 09 Nov 2002 → 16 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 26 Apr 2026 → 20 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 20 Mar 2022 → 13 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 22 Sep 2018 → 07 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 20 Oct 2025 → 02 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 16 | 07 Nov 2021 → 06 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 16 | 09 Mar 2010 → 25 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1064 | 173 | 16.3% | 14 | 31 |
| UEFA Champions League | 274 | 60 | 21.9% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 118 | 23 | 19.5% | 1 | 9 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 6 | 6 |
| Taça de Portugal | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | 0 | 13 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 18 |
| 2025 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 11 |
| 2024 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 50 | 4 | 8.0% | 19 |
| 2022 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 18 |
| 2021 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2020 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 10 |
| 2019 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 13 |
| 2018 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 15 |
| 2017 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 23 |
| 2015 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2013 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2012 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 21 |
| 2010 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2009 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2008 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2007 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 6 |
| 2006 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2005 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2003 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2002 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 11 |
| 2001 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 12 |
| 2000 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 1999 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 1998 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 15 |
| 1997 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 1996 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 1995 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 11 |
| 1994 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 1993 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1988 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup
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· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
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· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Super Cup
☆
· ITL · Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup)
☆
· ITL · UEFA Super Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 19 Sep 1991 | Valletta | 0–3 |
|
A | ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup |
| ☆ 20 Mar 1991 |
Porto
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Mar 1991 |
FC Bayern München
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 07 Nov 1990 |
Porto
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Oct 1990 |
Dinamo București
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 03 Oct 1990 | Portadown | 1–8 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 19 Sep 1990 |
Porto
|
5–0 | Portadown | H |
|
| ☆ 04 Oct 1989 |
Porto
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Sep 1989 |
Hamburger SV
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 Sep 1989 |
Valencia CF
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 25 Aug 1989 |
Porto
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 19 Aug 1989 |
Flacăra Moreni
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 05 Aug 1989 |
Porto
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 09 Nov 1988 |
Porto
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Oct 1988 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
5–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Oct 1988 |
HJK Helsinki
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Sep 1988 |
Porto
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Jan 1988 |
Porto
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Dec 1987 |
Porto
|
2–1(ft:1–1) | Peñarol | D | ITL · Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) Final |
| ☆ 21 Nov 1987 |
Ajax
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Nov 1987 |
Porto
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 21 Oct 1987 |
Real Madrid
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 30 Sep 1987 | Vardar Skopje | 0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 16 Sep 1987 |
Porto
|
3–0 | Vardar Skopje | H |
|
| ☆ 27 May 1987 |
Porto
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 22 Apr 1987 |
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 08 Apr 1987 |
Porto
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 18 Mar 1987 |
Brøndby IF
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 04 Mar 1987 |
Porto
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Nov 1986 |
Porto
|
3–0 | FC Vítkovice | H |
|
| ☆ 22 Oct 1986 | FC Vítkovice | 1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 01 Oct 1986 | Rabat Ajax | 0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 Sep 1986 |
Porto
|
9–0 | Rabat Ajax | H |
|
| ☆ 07 Nov 1985 |
Porto
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 23 Oct 1985 |
Barcelona
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 02 Oct 1985 |
Ajax
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 18 Sep 1985 |
Porto
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 03 Oct 1984 |
Porto
|
4–3 |
|
H | ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup |
| ☆ 19 Sep 1984 |
Wrexham
|
1–0 |
|
H | ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup |
| ☆ 16 May 1984 |
Juventus
|
2–1 |
|
H | ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup Final |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 19:30 |
Gil Vicente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 20:30 |
Porto
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.6% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 20:00 |
Porto
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 18:00 |
Vitória de Guimarães
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 20:00 |
Feyenoord
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Nov 20:30 |
Porto
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.